Among voters in 15 battleground states:
Biden 47% 47%
Warren 46% 48%
Sanders 45% 49%
Buttigieg 43% 48%
Margin of error: +/-6.6% pts
— Alli Hedges Maser (@AllisonLHedges) December 20, 2019
Even CNN. That’s with more Democrats even: “Among the entire sample, 32% described themselves as Democrats, 27% described themselves as Republicans, and 42% described themselves as independents or members of another party.”
If CNN on-air personalities were openly disbelieving their own polling on impeachment, which made their ‘heads hurt,’ they’re likely to have a few sads over their in-house pollster’s latest findings. Immediately on the heels of a presidential impeachment, the latest CNN survey shows Donald Trump tied with Joe Biden and leading all other major Democrats in the 15 crucial battleground states that will determine the 2020 victor.
You can see that all of the numbers — national and swing states — are within the margin of error ballpark. But I think it’s tough to look at these results and conclude anything other than this reality: As things stand, despite the adversity he’s facing, Trump will not be easy to defeat next year. In fact, as the incumbent, I think it’s fair to call him the favorite. Particularly because these results approximately mirror those in the USA Today/Suffolk poll we analyzed earlier in the week, and especially if this sentiment remains intact by next fall:
Lol, they have no idea why.
Harry Enten explains on CNN that Trump is suddenly surging in the general election polls.
Alisyn Camerota responds, “Do we have any sense why?”
? ? ? ? ?
— Eddie Zipperer (@EddieZipperer) December 20, 2019