
Via Washington Post:
Just as journalism is the first draft of history, exit polls let us take some first stabs at understanding public opinion. On the matter of politics and race, Donald Trump’s victory will provide plenty of fodder for opinion columns, in-depth survey analyses, fieldwork and historical studies.
Given the various studies already conducted, factors such as racial resentment and immigration conservatism will likely play important roles in explaining white voting behavior, in addition to factors such as economic anxiety and distrust of political elites.
Our understanding of race and presidential voting, however, also needs to look comparatively across groups. Looking at the exit poll data from the 2016 election, and comparing them over time, the story on race and presidential voting gets a bit more complicated.
