The night before the Sunday talks shows where the Obamacare train wreck is going to be front and center and we have the White House claiming “nearly half a million” Americans “applied” for Obamacare. In reality they only took the first step out of four, how they could claim they “applied” is beyond me. They are fully aware hardly anyone was able to make it all the way to the end of the application process before the site crashed on them.

If they have the step one numbers, they have the fully enrolled numbers so why not release them? The obvious answer is because it is comically low from where it needs to be (CBO says 7 million by March).

Let’s play with the numbers:

Half of the White House’s 500K “applied” number are from the state exchanges (another fact they omit). That leaves roughly 250K who took the first step on HealthCare.gov, let’s be very generous and say 30% made it all the way to the end of the process. That means only 75,000 fully enrolled on the federal exchange since it went live on September 30th. In reality it is probably closer to 20% (or less) meaning only 50,000 are enrolled.

Of course “nearly half a million” sounds a hell of a lot better than 75,000 or 50,000.

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