Via Washington Post:
The spate of recent terrorist attacks — in Paris, San Bernardino, Calif., and now Belgium — continues to raise questions about whether and how terrorism might affect the 2016 presidential election. The conventional wisdom is that foreign policy is not that salient to Americans in most White House elections, but this year could prove different.
The newly released American National Election Studies (ANES) pilot study, which was conducted in January, provides a window into this question. The data show that anxiety about terrorism is concentrated among Republicans and correlated with support for Donald Trump — but there remains considerable evidence that Hillary Clinton is the candidate advantaged on this issue.